NUCLEAR DEAL

Showing posts with label NUCLEAR DEAL. Show all posts
Showing posts with label NUCLEAR DEAL. Show all posts

UN’s nuclear watchdog chief, Rafael Grossi, says No proof of Nuclear Program In Iran

UN’s nuclear watchdog chief, Rafael Grossi, says No proof of Nuclear Program In Iran

 


The UN’s nuclear watchdog chief, Rafael Grossi, says inspectors have not found evidence of a coordinated Iranian programme to build nuclear weapons despite Israeli and US claims.

International Atomic Energy Agency Director General Rafael Grossi told NBC News that the agency had not identified “elements of a systematic and structured programme to manufacture nuclear weapons” in Iran.


At the same time, he confirmed that Tehran has enriched uranium to 60 percent purity – a level far beyond civilian energy needs.


Grossi said such enrichment is something “only countries with nuclear weapons have”.


He stressed that inspectors could not conclude Iran intends to build a bomb, but said the stockpiling raised serious questions.


This enrichment, he said, was “the source of the concerns we had”, and there was “no clear objective” for accumulating material at that level.


“The centrifuges were spinning constantly and producing more and more of that material,” he said, adding that theoretically this would have been “enough to produce more than 10 nuclear warheads. But do they have them? No.”

 


The UN’s nuclear watchdog chief, Rafael Grossi, says inspectors have not found evidence of a coordinated Iranian programme to build nuclear weapons despite Israeli and US claims.

International Atomic Energy Agency Director General Rafael Grossi told NBC News that the agency had not identified “elements of a systematic and structured programme to manufacture nuclear weapons” in Iran.


At the same time, he confirmed that Tehran has enriched uranium to 60 percent purity – a level far beyond civilian energy needs.


Grossi said such enrichment is something “only countries with nuclear weapons have”.


He stressed that inspectors could not conclude Iran intends to build a bomb, but said the stockpiling raised serious questions.


This enrichment, he said, was “the source of the concerns we had”, and there was “no clear objective” for accumulating material at that level.


“The centrifuges were spinning constantly and producing more and more of that material,” he said, adding that theoretically this would have been “enough to produce more than 10 nuclear warheads. But do they have them? No.”

IRGC Claims Devastating Missile Strike on Israeli PM’s Office and Air Force HQ, Fate of Netanyahu Remains Unknown

IRGC Claims Devastating Missile Strike on Israeli PM’s Office and Air Force HQ, Fate of Netanyahu Remains Unknown


Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) announced a high-stakes escalation this morning, claiming to have targeted Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s office with a "tenth wave" of Kheybar ballistic missiles. In the same coordinated strike, Tehran reported hitting the headquarters of the Israeli Air Force commander.


IRGC have also unleashed the 11th wave of the latest barrage with over 700 drones and hundreds of missiles targeting US and Israeli forces


According to Sputnik, the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) announced the 11th wave of its True Promise Four operation: a combined, large-scale strike by the IRGC’s navy and air force targeting US and Israeli bases on the third day of the war on Iran.


United States  information centers and supply depots in the Persian Gulf, the Israeli army communications network in Be’er Sheva and over 20 targets in Tel Aviv, West Jerusalem and Galilee were hit.


Since the start of the war on Saturday, Iranian forces have attacked 60 strategic targets and 500 US and Israeli positions, launching over 700 drones and hundreds of missiles – surpassing the number during last-year’s 12-day war in just the last 48 hours.


The IRGC said the brutal US and Israeli attacks against defenseless Iranian civilians – including attacks on hospitals, schools and civilian infrastructure – have only strengthened Iran’s resolve to wage a total war against its enemies.


While the IRGC has characterized the status of the Prime Minister as "unknown" following the surprise attack, Israeli officials and local reports from Jerusalem indicate no confirmed injuries or visible damage to the government compound. Despite the dramatic claims from Tehran, traffic in the area reportedly continues to flow normally, and several Israeli analysts have dismissed the report as psychological warfare. 


Tehran asserts the use of Kheibar (Khorramshahr-4) ballistic missiles in a "tenth wave" of strikes targeting the Israeli PM’s office and Air Force Command HQ.

•While Iranian state media reports the "fate of the Israeli Prime Minister is unknown," the IDF and Israeli officials have formally categorized these claims as psychological warfare/propaganda, stating that all projectiles targeting government compounds were successfully neutralized.


Meanwhile, the USS Abraham Lincoln Carrier has been reportedly vacated the Persian gulf as IRGC targeting the US war ships.


Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) announced a high-stakes escalation this morning, claiming to have targeted Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s office with a "tenth wave" of Kheybar ballistic missiles. In the same coordinated strike, Tehran reported hitting the headquarters of the Israeli Air Force commander.


IRGC have also unleashed the 11th wave of the latest barrage with over 700 drones and hundreds of missiles targeting US and Israeli forces


According to Sputnik, the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) announced the 11th wave of its True Promise Four operation: a combined, large-scale strike by the IRGC’s navy and air force targeting US and Israeli bases on the third day of the war on Iran.


United States  information centers and supply depots in the Persian Gulf, the Israeli army communications network in Be’er Sheva and over 20 targets in Tel Aviv, West Jerusalem and Galilee were hit.


Since the start of the war on Saturday, Iranian forces have attacked 60 strategic targets and 500 US and Israeli positions, launching over 700 drones and hundreds of missiles – surpassing the number during last-year’s 12-day war in just the last 48 hours.


The IRGC said the brutal US and Israeli attacks against defenseless Iranian civilians – including attacks on hospitals, schools and civilian infrastructure – have only strengthened Iran’s resolve to wage a total war against its enemies.


While the IRGC has characterized the status of the Prime Minister as "unknown" following the surprise attack, Israeli officials and local reports from Jerusalem indicate no confirmed injuries or visible damage to the government compound. Despite the dramatic claims from Tehran, traffic in the area reportedly continues to flow normally, and several Israeli analysts have dismissed the report as psychological warfare. 


Tehran asserts the use of Kheibar (Khorramshahr-4) ballistic missiles in a "tenth wave" of strikes targeting the Israeli PM’s office and Air Force Command HQ.

•While Iranian state media reports the "fate of the Israeli Prime Minister is unknown," the IDF and Israeli officials have formally categorized these claims as psychological warfare/propaganda, stating that all projectiles targeting government compounds were successfully neutralized.


Meanwhile, the USS Abraham Lincoln Carrier has been reportedly vacated the Persian gulf as IRGC targeting the US war ships.

No Regime Change in Iran — Kremlin warns US as Russian Warships Hold Position in Strait of Hormuz with IRAN

No Regime Change in Iran — Kremlin warns US as Russian Warships Hold Position in Strait of Hormuz with IRAN


Russia Federation on warned the United States that there won't be a regime change in Iran especially the external induced change in Tehran will not be allowed.

On February 20, Minister of Foreign Affairs of Russia Sergey Lavrov and Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran Abbas Araghchi held a telephone conversation.


The Foreign Ministers exchanged views on the current situation regarding the Iranian nuclear programme, including in light of the recent indirect US-Iran contacts held in Geneva.

The Russian Side reaffirmed its support for a negotiation process aimed at finding fair political and diplomatic solutions while fully respecting Iran’s legitimate rights in accordance with the principles of the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons.

The Ministers also touched upon certain issues on the bilateral agenda of mutual interest.


In another related development, Russia"No Regime Change as We monitor an unprecedented escalation around IRAN" Russian Warships Hold Position in Strait of Hormuz with IRAN.

Dimitry Peskov who is the Press Secretary of the President of the Russian Federation Vladimir Putin noted the escalation is "singular" or historic in scale but expressed hope for negotiations. This aligns with Moscow's broader stance of supporting Iran while avoiding direct entanglement.

As Iran's close partner, Russia reaffirmed ongoing ties (including the drills) but positioned itself as favoring diplomacy.

Russia opposes external efforts at regime change in Iran, viewing them as violations of sovereignty and destabilizing. For instance, Russian officials have criticized US approaches that could lead to overthrowing the Iranian government, framing such actions as incitement or unlawful interference.


Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov and other Russian officials and diplomats have explicitly condemned Western "plots" for regime change in Iran.


The United States and Iran concluded a second round of indirect negotiations mediated by Oman on Tuesday, with both sides acknowledging progress amid a growing American military buildup in the region.


Shortly after the Geneva talks, US Vice President JD Vance described the process as productive "in some ways," but said Tehran was "not yet willing" to engage on some of Trump's "red lines."


Araghchi said talks showed progress, describing the atmosphere as "more constructive."


US President Donald Trump has significantly stepped up American military presence in the region, deploying the USS Abraham Lincoln carrier strike group, with the USS Gerald R. Ford aircraft carrier on its way to the region, along with additional fighter jets.


The Geneva meeting was the second round of negotiations since US President Donald Trump ordered strikes on three Iranian nuclear facilities during the 12-day Iran-Israel war last June. The first round was held in Muscat, Oman, on Feb. 6.


On Thursday, Trump said it will be clear if it is possible to make a deal with Iran "over the next probably 10 days," warning that Washington "may have to take it a step further" if negotiations fall short.

Earlier, the Kremlin called on Iran and all regional partners to "exercise restraint and caution," describing the tensions as "unprecedented."


Russia Federation on warned the United States that there won't be a regime change in Iran especially the external induced change in Tehran will not be allowed.

On February 20, Minister of Foreign Affairs of Russia Sergey Lavrov and Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran Abbas Araghchi held a telephone conversation.


The Foreign Ministers exchanged views on the current situation regarding the Iranian nuclear programme, including in light of the recent indirect US-Iran contacts held in Geneva.

The Russian Side reaffirmed its support for a negotiation process aimed at finding fair political and diplomatic solutions while fully respecting Iran’s legitimate rights in accordance with the principles of the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons.

The Ministers also touched upon certain issues on the bilateral agenda of mutual interest.


In another related development, Russia"No Regime Change as We monitor an unprecedented escalation around IRAN" Russian Warships Hold Position in Strait of Hormuz with IRAN.

Dimitry Peskov who is the Press Secretary of the President of the Russian Federation Vladimir Putin noted the escalation is "singular" or historic in scale but expressed hope for negotiations. This aligns with Moscow's broader stance of supporting Iran while avoiding direct entanglement.

As Iran's close partner, Russia reaffirmed ongoing ties (including the drills) but positioned itself as favoring diplomacy.

Russia opposes external efforts at regime change in Iran, viewing them as violations of sovereignty and destabilizing. For instance, Russian officials have criticized US approaches that could lead to overthrowing the Iranian government, framing such actions as incitement or unlawful interference.


Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov and other Russian officials and diplomats have explicitly condemned Western "plots" for regime change in Iran.


The United States and Iran concluded a second round of indirect negotiations mediated by Oman on Tuesday, with both sides acknowledging progress amid a growing American military buildup in the region.


Shortly after the Geneva talks, US Vice President JD Vance described the process as productive "in some ways," but said Tehran was "not yet willing" to engage on some of Trump's "red lines."


Araghchi said talks showed progress, describing the atmosphere as "more constructive."


US President Donald Trump has significantly stepped up American military presence in the region, deploying the USS Abraham Lincoln carrier strike group, with the USS Gerald R. Ford aircraft carrier on its way to the region, along with additional fighter jets.


The Geneva meeting was the second round of negotiations since US President Donald Trump ordered strikes on three Iranian nuclear facilities during the 12-day Iran-Israel war last June. The first round was held in Muscat, Oman, on Feb. 6.


On Thursday, Trump said it will be clear if it is possible to make a deal with Iran "over the next probably 10 days," warning that Washington "may have to take it a step further" if negotiations fall short.

Earlier, the Kremlin called on Iran and all regional partners to "exercise restraint and caution," describing the tensions as "unprecedented."

Iran Announces Maximum Security Measures, Says Nuclear weapons Not Needed To Defend the Islamic Republic

Iran Announces Maximum Security Measures, Says Nuclear weapons Not Needed To Defend the Islamic Republic


Tehran authorities have announced maximum alert measures, including plans to use underground parking areas and metro stations as shelters.

Reports also say senior officials are relocating to protected facilities, while the military continues to expand its drone capabilities for surveillance, defense, and electronic warfare.

Iran’s Atomic Energy Organization chief Mohammad Eslami says, There is no place for nuclear weapons in our military doctrine. Iran maintains its defense capabilities without the need for nuclear arms.


Preparing for a possible US attacks, the head of Tehran’s Crisis Management Authority stated that 82 metro stations in the capital have been designated as shelters and are currently being equipped with basic living supplies.


While 300 parking facilities at commercial and administrative centers have been designated as shelters, with capacity to accommodate up to 2.5 million people.


US President Donald Trump says talks with Iran are ongoing, but the Gulf countries cannot be informed about them.


Meanwhile, reports by Axios  quoting senior Iranian officials saying that progress has been made toward launching negotiations with the United States.


Egypt, Russia, Turkey, and Qatar are supporting the talks in an effort to prevent a full-scale war in the Middle East.


Satellite images in the last 12hours show the aircraft carrier USS Abraham Lincoln departing the Sea of Oman and heading back toward the Indian Ocean, according to Sentinel-2 data. The U.S. aircraft carrier withdraws from the Gulf of Oman and repositions in the Arabian Sea.


The Prime Minister of Qatar conducted an urgent 2-hour visit to Iran, reportedly to deliver a message on behalf of the United States.


During the visit, he met with President Pezeshkian and Araghchi, signaling high-level diplomatic engagement amid ongoing regional tensions.


A U.S military analyst has warned that Tehran has the ability to cause serious damage to Israel and U.S. military bases, according to reports!


Scott Ritter, a  former UN weapons inspector and former U.S. officer said Iran is clearly a major power in the region. Iran has the ability to shut down the region’s energy production whenever it wants. 

Iran can cause devastating damage to U.S. military bases, which could result in the deaths of hundreds or even thousands of American soldiers.


 And Iran could carry out decisive attacks on Israel that would weaken its ability to survive and make the land unlivable for millions of its residents.” 

This is reality against the western media propaganda os the United States and Israel. For instance ,Israel's claim that its aerial defense systems are top-notch and would bring down all of Iran's missiles. The narrative was widely accepted until the 12-day Israeli -Iranian war when Tehran surprised everyone, including the US. 


Iran's missiles hit many Israeli infrastructure targets until Israel couldn't keep up with the pressure, but had to propose for an urgent ceasefire.


As part of their image sanitization, Israel launched a campaign trying to push a narrative about how it won the war.  A few months later, among the US/Israel proposals in the new Iranian deal, they are currently pushing the issue of ballistic missiles. 


They want Iran's missiles to have a range limited to 500 kilometers.  This is telling, given that the 12-day war exposed Israel's limits and weaknesses. 


If Iranian missiles were as ineffective as the Western media portrays, why are Israel and the US pushing such proposals? 


As regards the ongoing negotiations as announced by Donald Trump, Iranian Foreign Ministry wants US to lift economic sanctions from Iran until new agreement is reached based on Iran’s peaceful nuclear program. 


Tehran has insisted that Iran will never backdown from achieving nuclear energy goals and continues its nuclear use into Medical, Electricity, Naval submarines and Space Explorations.


Tehran authorities have announced maximum alert measures, including plans to use underground parking areas and metro stations as shelters.

Reports also say senior officials are relocating to protected facilities, while the military continues to expand its drone capabilities for surveillance, defense, and electronic warfare.

Iran’s Atomic Energy Organization chief Mohammad Eslami says, There is no place for nuclear weapons in our military doctrine. Iran maintains its defense capabilities without the need for nuclear arms.


Preparing for a possible US attacks, the head of Tehran’s Crisis Management Authority stated that 82 metro stations in the capital have been designated as shelters and are currently being equipped with basic living supplies.


While 300 parking facilities at commercial and administrative centers have been designated as shelters, with capacity to accommodate up to 2.5 million people.


US President Donald Trump says talks with Iran are ongoing, but the Gulf countries cannot be informed about them.


Meanwhile, reports by Axios  quoting senior Iranian officials saying that progress has been made toward launching negotiations with the United States.


Egypt, Russia, Turkey, and Qatar are supporting the talks in an effort to prevent a full-scale war in the Middle East.


Satellite images in the last 12hours show the aircraft carrier USS Abraham Lincoln departing the Sea of Oman and heading back toward the Indian Ocean, according to Sentinel-2 data. The U.S. aircraft carrier withdraws from the Gulf of Oman and repositions in the Arabian Sea.


The Prime Minister of Qatar conducted an urgent 2-hour visit to Iran, reportedly to deliver a message on behalf of the United States.


During the visit, he met with President Pezeshkian and Araghchi, signaling high-level diplomatic engagement amid ongoing regional tensions.


A U.S military analyst has warned that Tehran has the ability to cause serious damage to Israel and U.S. military bases, according to reports!


Scott Ritter, a  former UN weapons inspector and former U.S. officer said Iran is clearly a major power in the region. Iran has the ability to shut down the region’s energy production whenever it wants. 

Iran can cause devastating damage to U.S. military bases, which could result in the deaths of hundreds or even thousands of American soldiers.


 And Iran could carry out decisive attacks on Israel that would weaken its ability to survive and make the land unlivable for millions of its residents.” 

This is reality against the western media propaganda os the United States and Israel. For instance ,Israel's claim that its aerial defense systems are top-notch and would bring down all of Iran's missiles. The narrative was widely accepted until the 12-day Israeli -Iranian war when Tehran surprised everyone, including the US. 


Iran's missiles hit many Israeli infrastructure targets until Israel couldn't keep up with the pressure, but had to propose for an urgent ceasefire.


As part of their image sanitization, Israel launched a campaign trying to push a narrative about how it won the war.  A few months later, among the US/Israel proposals in the new Iranian deal, they are currently pushing the issue of ballistic missiles. 


They want Iran's missiles to have a range limited to 500 kilometers.  This is telling, given that the 12-day war exposed Israel's limits and weaknesses. 


If Iranian missiles were as ineffective as the Western media portrays, why are Israel and the US pushing such proposals? 


As regards the ongoing negotiations as announced by Donald Trump, Iranian Foreign Ministry wants US to lift economic sanctions from Iran until new agreement is reached based on Iran’s peaceful nuclear program. 


Tehran has insisted that Iran will never backdown from achieving nuclear energy goals and continues its nuclear use into Medical, Electricity, Naval submarines and Space Explorations.

Destruction of Iranian Nuclear program FAILED, Tehran managed to restore it, says Israel

Destruction of Iranian Nuclear program FAILED, Tehran managed to restore it, says Israel

Macron & Netanyahu

Israel has reportedly informed France that the destruction of the Iranian Nuclear program FAILED and Iran managed to restore it.


Israeli officials told French authorities that the Iranian nuclear program was not completely destroyed after the June airstrikes by the US and Israel, reports Le Monde.


According to Israeli intelligence data, Tehran managed to retain uranium enrichment equipment and the entire stock of raw materials for creating a nuclear bomb, as well as scientific potential.

Macron & Netanyahu

Israel has reportedly informed France that the destruction of the Iranian Nuclear program FAILED and Iran managed to restore it.


Israeli officials told French authorities that the Iranian nuclear program was not completely destroyed after the June airstrikes by the US and Israel, reports Le Monde.


According to Israeli intelligence data, Tehran managed to retain uranium enrichment equipment and the entire stock of raw materials for creating a nuclear bomb, as well as scientific potential.

Iran moving uranium from nuclear sites bombed by American Army

Iran moving uranium from nuclear sites bombed by American Army

 


 


Nuclear Deal: American Trump ready to offer Tehran $30 Billion, other benefits for Iran to give up a nuclear bomb

Nuclear Deal: American Trump ready to offer Tehran $30 Billion, other benefits for Iran to give up a nuclear bomb

 



United States President Donald Trump will definitely want to use any means to resolve the nuclear deal with Iran as the architect of the setback to the Iranian Nuclear deal with the world powers and Germany. 

Trump in his first term in office withdrawn the United States from the deal introduced all forms of economy terrorism inform of sanctions and threats but non discouraged Tehran from pursuing her nuclear agenda.


12days Israel-Iran War with America's direct attacks on Iranian Nuclear Sites have only engineered Tehran determination to pursue what it called civilian peaceful nuclear program. Iran is a member of non nuclear proliferation treaty.


The question is will Islamic Republic accept Trump's offer of $30b plus sanctions relief and let go of the nuclear dream in the face of isreali aggression?

 



United States President Donald Trump will definitely want to use any means to resolve the nuclear deal with Iran as the architect of the setback to the Iranian Nuclear deal with the world powers and Germany. 

Trump in his first term in office withdrawn the United States from the deal introduced all forms of economy terrorism inform of sanctions and threats but non discouraged Tehran from pursuing her nuclear agenda.


12days Israel-Iran War with America's direct attacks on Iranian Nuclear Sites have only engineered Tehran determination to pursue what it called civilian peaceful nuclear program. Iran is a member of non nuclear proliferation treaty.


The question is will Islamic Republic accept Trump's offer of $30b plus sanctions relief and let go of the nuclear dream in the face of isreali aggression?

Iran says NUCLEAR PROGRAM will Resume without interruption including Enrichment

Iran says NUCLEAR PROGRAM will Resume without interruption including Enrichment

 


 


Israel-Iran War: Iran sets To attend nuclear talks in Geneva on Friday with France, Germany, UK, EU says Iran foreign minister

Israel-Iran War: Iran sets To attend nuclear talks in Geneva on Friday with France, Germany, UK, EU says Iran foreign minister


Iran foreign minister says to attend nuclear talks in Geneva on Friday with France, Germany, UK, EU


Iran foreign minister says to attend nuclear talks in Geneva on Friday with France, Germany, UK, EU

Israel -Iran War: Iran Promised a Surprise Retaliation that the world will forever Remember

Israel -Iran War: Iran Promised a Surprise Retaliation that the world will forever Remember

 

 

Iran/Israeli war,: American Trump Will Disappoint Israeli Netayahu

Iran/Israeli war,: American Trump Will Disappoint Israeli Netayahu

Kolawole Odetola 



Its early days in the Iran/Israeli war, but some things are now clear enough. This was an unprovoked, brazen attack on Iran by Israel the type of which when launched by any anti western government against a pro western one would have had the western media and its commentariat in a meltdown. Now there is either explicit support for the Zionist state or weasel words about 'de-escalation'.


It's also that clear that not only did America know sbout Israel's plans, they helped concieve them including engaging Iran in a false and mendacious negotiation process, luring it into a false sense of security deliberately exposing its leadership to Israel's decapitation strike on Thursday evening.


The third and probably most important point that has emerged since the crisis started three days ago is this time Netanyahu might have bitten off more than he can chew. Its still early days in the war and Israel has undoubtedly inflicted damage on Iran, especially in the targeted killings of its top scientists and military officials. It has also hit but not destroyed its nuclear facilities as the most importand are hundreds of metres below ground. But the scale of Irans response has been sobering for Netsnyahu and his warmongers.


Iran has hit back hard raining hundreds of ballistic missiles on Israels most important cities like Tel Aviv, Haifa and Jerusalem killing at least 15, wounding hundreds and levelling entire blocks, devastating whole districts proving Israels vaunted missile defense system is far from infallible. In any war the party that started the conflict is always at a certain disadvantage. They have to achieve their objectives or they would have lost. All the other side has to do is survive.


By having the stated and clear aim of regime change in Iran Netanyahu has dug himself into a massive hole. While the toppling of the islamic republic cannot be totally ruled out, it is very far from the most likely outcome of this war. To kill its top military leaders Israel targetted their homes wiping out entire families including children causing revulsion in Iran. And even amongst those sections of the Iranian population who dislike the Ayatollahs, the country's nuclear scientists are hugely popular. Killing them might have been a tactical coup but strategically it was a mistake as they can be replaced and it would have disgusted even those amongst the iranian population who are not enamoured of its religious bent. 


Netanyahus problem is while Israel might have a military edge over Iran, Tehran has far more strategic depth and unlike the arab nations and militias it has fought over the last 77 years geographically, Iran is very far removed from Israel. Israels planes have to travel hundreds of miles to hit targets in what is a vast country. Iran is 8 times bigger than Israel and has nine times its population. Israeli plane have to refuel mid air and fly over arab countries to reach Iran. Apart from the logistical strain which Israel cannot long bear, the longer Iran resists the bolder the arab street will get risking explosive movements that could topple the arab dictators in the gulf enabling Israel. Then most of Iran's military assets are buried underground and scattered across its vast territory, a land mass so vast Israel has simply not got the military resources to cover.


Israels military has been built to fight short and sharp wars. It is also heavily reliant on western supplies. The major problem with this is western military arsenals have been stretched to almost breaking point by its proxy war in Ukraine. America is desperately short of missiles particularly the vital missile interceptors which Isreal needs for its 'Iron Dome' defense shield. In the missile war now being waged between Iran and Israel supplies of missile interceptors is far more important than those of the attacking cruise or ballistic missiles as it takes up to 8 interceptors to bring down one incoming missile. Meaning the assailant can fire off decoys to exhaust the limited supply of interceptors. Russia has used this tactic in Ukraine to the point where Kiev has so few interceptors left that incoming Russian missiles now have free reign over Ukraines skies. Iran is using the same tactic in its war with Israel. 


Another problem, a huge one for Israel is the lethality of Irans ballistic missiles and hypersonic projectiles, some of whose sophistication matches anything the Russians or Chinese have. It should not be forgotten that in the early stages of the Ukraine war Russia relied heavily on Iran for its drone and missile know how. This has been proved with devastating effect over the last few days with a some Israeli neighbourhoods beginning to resemble Gaza's bombed out apocalyptic streets. Iran still has thousands of these missiles. Possibly tens of thousands of them. The iranian strategy clearly is to target Israeli civilians to undermine a government that more than any other in the world draws the very reason for its existence on protecting its populace from external harm. The senselessness of Netanyahu's genocidal behaviour over the last two years means that the Iranian tactic of targetting Israeli civilians will not draw any significant outrage from around the world. It also threatens Israels very existence. As if the jewish state cant protect jews - the very reason it was created, why should jews live there. If Israel loses this war the result will be milions of israelis will emigrate threatening the states very survival.


Netanyahu knows he might lose this war especially with the unexpected ferocity of the Iranian response to his unprovoked attack. His only hope is to drag the US in directly. But this will be a huge problem for Trump. Beneath his bluster Donald Trump is fickle and incapable of long term commitment to anything. Unlike say a Putin or China's Xi, he lacks a strategic grasp of the world and the steely resolve to see through his actions or think and act long term. He is transactional and like the Estate agent he is has the attention span of a gnat. He starts fights he cant finish then simply walks away from the chaos he instigated or gives up and backs down. He did so with the China tarrifs, with the Houthi attacks and has recently backed down from.his mass raids on illegal or undocumented immigrants after masive pushback from the entertainment, leisure and agricultural industry who rely on their labour and the massive street protests it sparked. He is no Nixon. The danger for Israel and the American establishment and Trump himself is him acutally getting involved in the attacks on Iran. If the Iranians hit back and kill American soldiers in bases across the middle east, destroy all the oil platforms in the gulf sending oil prices soaring or sink an American warshio Trump going by his form and his erratic behaviour is likely as he did with the China tarrifs chicken out blaming everybody, the Iranians, Netsnyahu, the Europeans everyone but himself. Netanyahu has very few options in the war he started and they are getting less each day it rages on.

Kolawole Odetola 



Its early days in the Iran/Israeli war, but some things are now clear enough. This was an unprovoked, brazen attack on Iran by Israel the type of which when launched by any anti western government against a pro western one would have had the western media and its commentariat in a meltdown. Now there is either explicit support for the Zionist state or weasel words about 'de-escalation'.


It's also that clear that not only did America know sbout Israel's plans, they helped concieve them including engaging Iran in a false and mendacious negotiation process, luring it into a false sense of security deliberately exposing its leadership to Israel's decapitation strike on Thursday evening.


The third and probably most important point that has emerged since the crisis started three days ago is this time Netanyahu might have bitten off more than he can chew. Its still early days in the war and Israel has undoubtedly inflicted damage on Iran, especially in the targeted killings of its top scientists and military officials. It has also hit but not destroyed its nuclear facilities as the most importand are hundreds of metres below ground. But the scale of Irans response has been sobering for Netsnyahu and his warmongers.


Iran has hit back hard raining hundreds of ballistic missiles on Israels most important cities like Tel Aviv, Haifa and Jerusalem killing at least 15, wounding hundreds and levelling entire blocks, devastating whole districts proving Israels vaunted missile defense system is far from infallible. In any war the party that started the conflict is always at a certain disadvantage. They have to achieve their objectives or they would have lost. All the other side has to do is survive.


By having the stated and clear aim of regime change in Iran Netanyahu has dug himself into a massive hole. While the toppling of the islamic republic cannot be totally ruled out, it is very far from the most likely outcome of this war. To kill its top military leaders Israel targetted their homes wiping out entire families including children causing revulsion in Iran. And even amongst those sections of the Iranian population who dislike the Ayatollahs, the country's nuclear scientists are hugely popular. Killing them might have been a tactical coup but strategically it was a mistake as they can be replaced and it would have disgusted even those amongst the iranian population who are not enamoured of its religious bent. 


Netanyahus problem is while Israel might have a military edge over Iran, Tehran has far more strategic depth and unlike the arab nations and militias it has fought over the last 77 years geographically, Iran is very far removed from Israel. Israels planes have to travel hundreds of miles to hit targets in what is a vast country. Iran is 8 times bigger than Israel and has nine times its population. Israeli plane have to refuel mid air and fly over arab countries to reach Iran. Apart from the logistical strain which Israel cannot long bear, the longer Iran resists the bolder the arab street will get risking explosive movements that could topple the arab dictators in the gulf enabling Israel. Then most of Iran's military assets are buried underground and scattered across its vast territory, a land mass so vast Israel has simply not got the military resources to cover.


Israels military has been built to fight short and sharp wars. It is also heavily reliant on western supplies. The major problem with this is western military arsenals have been stretched to almost breaking point by its proxy war in Ukraine. America is desperately short of missiles particularly the vital missile interceptors which Isreal needs for its 'Iron Dome' defense shield. In the missile war now being waged between Iran and Israel supplies of missile interceptors is far more important than those of the attacking cruise or ballistic missiles as it takes up to 8 interceptors to bring down one incoming missile. Meaning the assailant can fire off decoys to exhaust the limited supply of interceptors. Russia has used this tactic in Ukraine to the point where Kiev has so few interceptors left that incoming Russian missiles now have free reign over Ukraines skies. Iran is using the same tactic in its war with Israel. 


Another problem, a huge one for Israel is the lethality of Irans ballistic missiles and hypersonic projectiles, some of whose sophistication matches anything the Russians or Chinese have. It should not be forgotten that in the early stages of the Ukraine war Russia relied heavily on Iran for its drone and missile know how. This has been proved with devastating effect over the last few days with a some Israeli neighbourhoods beginning to resemble Gaza's bombed out apocalyptic streets. Iran still has thousands of these missiles. Possibly tens of thousands of them. The iranian strategy clearly is to target Israeli civilians to undermine a government that more than any other in the world draws the very reason for its existence on protecting its populace from external harm. The senselessness of Netanyahu's genocidal behaviour over the last two years means that the Iranian tactic of targetting Israeli civilians will not draw any significant outrage from around the world. It also threatens Israels very existence. As if the jewish state cant protect jews - the very reason it was created, why should jews live there. If Israel loses this war the result will be milions of israelis will emigrate threatening the states very survival.


Netanyahu knows he might lose this war especially with the unexpected ferocity of the Iranian response to his unprovoked attack. His only hope is to drag the US in directly. But this will be a huge problem for Trump. Beneath his bluster Donald Trump is fickle and incapable of long term commitment to anything. Unlike say a Putin or China's Xi, he lacks a strategic grasp of the world and the steely resolve to see through his actions or think and act long term. He is transactional and like the Estate agent he is has the attention span of a gnat. He starts fights he cant finish then simply walks away from the chaos he instigated or gives up and backs down. He did so with the China tarrifs, with the Houthi attacks and has recently backed down from.his mass raids on illegal or undocumented immigrants after masive pushback from the entertainment, leisure and agricultural industry who rely on their labour and the massive street protests it sparked. He is no Nixon. The danger for Israel and the American establishment and Trump himself is him acutally getting involved in the attacks on Iran. If the Iranians hit back and kill American soldiers in bases across the middle east, destroy all the oil platforms in the gulf sending oil prices soaring or sink an American warshio Trump going by his form and his erratic behaviour is likely as he did with the China tarrifs chicken out blaming everybody, the Iranians, Netsnyahu, the Europeans everyone but himself. Netanyahu has very few options in the war he started and they are getting less each day it rages on.

Operation True Promise III : Iran Launched Barrage of Missiles Against Israel , Trump Threatening US Military Might Against Terhan If Attacked

Operation True Promise III : Iran Launched Barrage of Missiles Against Israel , Trump Threatening US Military Might Against Terhan If Attacked


 

 Islamic Republic of Iran fires a fresh barrage of missiles at Israel, state television announces, as the rivals exchanged fire for a third day.


'A new wave of Operation Honest Promise 3 began a few minutes ago,' Iranian state TV reports.


US President Donald Trump has said the full US military might will be unleashed against Iran if Terhan attacks American military bases in the middle east.



Trump said: 'If we are attacked in any way, shape or form by Iran, the full strength and might of the US Armed Forces will come down on you at levels never seen before,' Donald Trump warns, adding that 'we can easily get a deal done between Iran and Israel' 


Iranian officials say 18 of Iran's 31 provinces have been affected by Israeli airstrikes. Here's a map of the major cities and regions targeted by Israel so far. It is a full scale war against Israel.


According to Iran International, Iranian Ali Asghar Hejazi, deputy chief of staff to Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, is in negotiations with Russian officials to secure a potential exit from Iran for himself and his family if the situation deteriorates.


Iran has threatened to intensify its attacks if Israel continues hostilities.


The Israeli Air Force carried out an “extensive series of intelligence-based strikes” on a number of targets in Tehran, including the headquarters of Iran’s Ministry of Defense, the Israeli military said. Iran’s Tasnim News Agency earlier reported that the strike caused minor damage to one of the ministry’s administrative buildings.


Terhan said Israeli strikes targeted South Pars natural gas field – the largest in the world – and Shahran oil depot. Videos from Tehran show a large fire burning and smoke billowing in the distance.


The next round of US-Iran nuclear negotiations, due to take place in Oman this weekend, has been canceled, Oman’s foreign minister has said. His Iranian counterpart, Abbas Araghchi, earlier said such talks were “unjustifiable” while Israel’s attacks continued.


Russian President Vladimir Putin has condemned the attacks against Iran as unprovoked.


 

 Islamic Republic of Iran fires a fresh barrage of missiles at Israel, state television announces, as the rivals exchanged fire for a third day.


'A new wave of Operation Honest Promise 3 began a few minutes ago,' Iranian state TV reports.


US President Donald Trump has said the full US military might will be unleashed against Iran if Terhan attacks American military bases in the middle east.



Trump said: 'If we are attacked in any way, shape or form by Iran, the full strength and might of the US Armed Forces will come down on you at levels never seen before,' Donald Trump warns, adding that 'we can easily get a deal done between Iran and Israel' 


Iranian officials say 18 of Iran's 31 provinces have been affected by Israeli airstrikes. Here's a map of the major cities and regions targeted by Israel so far. It is a full scale war against Israel.


According to Iran International, Iranian Ali Asghar Hejazi, deputy chief of staff to Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, is in negotiations with Russian officials to secure a potential exit from Iran for himself and his family if the situation deteriorates.


Iran has threatened to intensify its attacks if Israel continues hostilities.


The Israeli Air Force carried out an “extensive series of intelligence-based strikes” on a number of targets in Tehran, including the headquarters of Iran’s Ministry of Defense, the Israeli military said. Iran’s Tasnim News Agency earlier reported that the strike caused minor damage to one of the ministry’s administrative buildings.


Terhan said Israeli strikes targeted South Pars natural gas field – the largest in the world – and Shahran oil depot. Videos from Tehran show a large fire burning and smoke billowing in the distance.


The next round of US-Iran nuclear negotiations, due to take place in Oman this weekend, has been canceled, Oman’s foreign minister has said. His Iranian counterpart, Abbas Araghchi, earlier said such talks were “unjustifiable” while Israel’s attacks continued.


Russian President Vladimir Putin has condemned the attacks against Iran as unprovoked.

Iranian FM says an Arab country will deliver Trump's letter to Tehran

Iranian FM says an Arab country will deliver Trump's letter to Tehran


American President Donald Trump’s letter to Iran’s clerical establishment “will soon be delivered to Tehran by an Arab country,” Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said in televised remarks on Wednesday.


According to Reuters reports Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei insisted last week that Tehran would not be bullied into negotiations, after Trump said he had sent a letter urging Iran to engage in talks on a new nuclear deal.


It should be recallef that in 2018, President Trump unilaterally withdrew the US from the 2015 Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action on  nuclear deal between Iran and world powers and re-imposed sanctions on Tehran, which retaliated by moving away from its nuclear-related commitments a year later.


Reacting to Wednesday’s closed doors UN Security Council meeting over Iran’s nuclear programme, Araghchi said that the gathering was a “new and bizarre process that puts into question the goodwill of states requesting it”.


The meeting was requested by six of the council’s 15 members — France, Greece, Panama, South Korea, Britain and the US — due to Iran’s expansion of its stock of close to weapons-grade uranium.


Iran has denied wanting to develop a nuclear weapon. However, it is “dramatically” accelerating enrichment of uranium to up to 60 per cent purity, close to the roughly 90 per cent weapons-grade level, the International Atomic Energy Agency has warned.


Talks between Tehran and the remaining members of the 2015 nuclear pact have gained momentum as Iran’s nuclear programme remains an important global issue.


Araghchi said that Iran would soon have a fifth round of talks with the European powers forming part of the nuclear deal — France, Britain and Germany — and confirmed a meeting in Beijing on Friday with the other members, Russia and China.


Source


American President Donald Trump’s letter to Iran’s clerical establishment “will soon be delivered to Tehran by an Arab country,” Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said in televised remarks on Wednesday.


According to Reuters reports Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei insisted last week that Tehran would not be bullied into negotiations, after Trump said he had sent a letter urging Iran to engage in talks on a new nuclear deal.


It should be recallef that in 2018, President Trump unilaterally withdrew the US from the 2015 Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action on  nuclear deal between Iran and world powers and re-imposed sanctions on Tehran, which retaliated by moving away from its nuclear-related commitments a year later.


Reacting to Wednesday’s closed doors UN Security Council meeting over Iran’s nuclear programme, Araghchi said that the gathering was a “new and bizarre process that puts into question the goodwill of states requesting it”.


The meeting was requested by six of the council’s 15 members — France, Greece, Panama, South Korea, Britain and the US — due to Iran’s expansion of its stock of close to weapons-grade uranium.


Iran has denied wanting to develop a nuclear weapon. However, it is “dramatically” accelerating enrichment of uranium to up to 60 per cent purity, close to the roughly 90 per cent weapons-grade level, the International Atomic Energy Agency has warned.


Talks between Tehran and the remaining members of the 2015 nuclear pact have gained momentum as Iran’s nuclear programme remains an important global issue.


Araghchi said that Iran would soon have a fifth round of talks with the European powers forming part of the nuclear deal — France, Britain and Germany — and confirmed a meeting in Beijing on Friday with the other members, Russia and China.


Source

NATO Headache: Russia may support North Korea's missile and nuclear programs

NATO Headache: Russia may support North Korea's missile and nuclear programs

North Korea leader hosts a welcome ceremony for Putin



NATO is concerned about potential Russian support for North Korea's missile and nuclear programs, Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg said at a news conference with US Secretary of State Antony Blinken. Jerusalem post reported.


According to Sputnik, NATO Chief stated that Putin's visit to North Korea underscored for the alliance the "global nature" of security and the importance of partnership with Asia.




North Korea leader hosts a welcome ceremony for Putin


North Korea leader hosts a welcome ceremony for Putin



NATO is concerned about potential Russian support for North Korea's missile and nuclear programs, Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg said at a news conference with US Secretary of State Antony Blinken. Jerusalem post reported.


According to Sputnik, NATO Chief stated that Putin's visit to North Korea underscored for the alliance the "global nature" of security and the importance of partnership with Asia.




North Korea leader hosts a welcome ceremony for Putin


NATO to put nuclear weapons on standby amid growing threat from Russia & China

NATO to put nuclear weapons on standby amid growing threat from Russia & China

NATO's remark was an "escalation of tension" says Russia 


NATO Chief 

The North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO ) is in talks to deploy more nuclear weapons, taking them out of storage and placing them on standby, in the face of what it called a growing threat from Russia and China, the head of the alliance Jens Stoltenberg said on Monday.


Stoltenberg , according to UK 's Telegraph newspaper said there were live consultations between members to use transparency around its nuclear arsenal as a deterrent."I won't go into operational details about how many nuclear warheads should be operational and which should be stored, but we need to consult on these issues. That's exactly what we're doing," he told the paper.


The NATO chief said it was necessary to show the world the alliance's nuclear arsenal to send a clear message to potential enemies.




He said: "Transparency helps to communicate the direct message that we, of course, are a nuclear alliance." NATO's aim is, of course, a world without nuclear weapons, but as long as nuclear weapons exist, we will remain a nuclear alliance, because a world where Russia, China and North Korea have nuclear weapons, and NATO does not, is a more dangerous world."

Stoltenberg said last week that nuclear weapons were NATO's "ultimate security guarantee" and a means to preserve peace.


The Kremlin said Stoltenberg's remark was an "escalation of tension". Spokesman Dmitry Peskov said the comments appeared to contradict a communique issued at a weekend conference in Switzerland that said any threat or use of nuclear weapons in the Ukraine context was inadmissible.

Stoltenberg later said Russia was trying to create confusion and that his comments referred to the modernisation of Nato's nuclear deterrent, including the replacement of F-16 jets with F-35s and the modernisation of weapons deployed in Europe, which he said has been known for a long time.

Russia is trying a way to always also create a situation where they can blame Nato, and the reality is that Nato is transparent," Stoltenberg told reporters on a visit to Washington. A Nato spokesperson had earlier sought to clarify Stoltenberg's remarks, saying: "We have an ongoing modernisation programme to replace legacy weapons and aircraft. Beyond that, there are no significant changes to our nuclear deterrent."

Russia, which sent troops into Ukraine in 2022, says the US and its European allies are pushing the world to the brink of nuclear confrontation by giving Ukraine billions of dollars worth of weapons. Prez Putin has said Russia is technically ready for nuclear war, and that Moscow could use nuclear weapons to defend itself in extreme circumstances.

NATO's remark was an "escalation of tension" says Russia 


NATO Chief 

The North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO ) is in talks to deploy more nuclear weapons, taking them out of storage and placing them on standby, in the face of what it called a growing threat from Russia and China, the head of the alliance Jens Stoltenberg said on Monday.


Stoltenberg , according to UK 's Telegraph newspaper said there were live consultations between members to use transparency around its nuclear arsenal as a deterrent."I won't go into operational details about how many nuclear warheads should be operational and which should be stored, but we need to consult on these issues. That's exactly what we're doing," he told the paper.


The NATO chief said it was necessary to show the world the alliance's nuclear arsenal to send a clear message to potential enemies.




He said: "Transparency helps to communicate the direct message that we, of course, are a nuclear alliance." NATO's aim is, of course, a world without nuclear weapons, but as long as nuclear weapons exist, we will remain a nuclear alliance, because a world where Russia, China and North Korea have nuclear weapons, and NATO does not, is a more dangerous world."

Stoltenberg said last week that nuclear weapons were NATO's "ultimate security guarantee" and a means to preserve peace.


The Kremlin said Stoltenberg's remark was an "escalation of tension". Spokesman Dmitry Peskov said the comments appeared to contradict a communique issued at a weekend conference in Switzerland that said any threat or use of nuclear weapons in the Ukraine context was inadmissible.

Stoltenberg later said Russia was trying to create confusion and that his comments referred to the modernisation of Nato's nuclear deterrent, including the replacement of F-16 jets with F-35s and the modernisation of weapons deployed in Europe, which he said has been known for a long time.

Russia is trying a way to always also create a situation where they can blame Nato, and the reality is that Nato is transparent," Stoltenberg told reporters on a visit to Washington. A Nato spokesperson had earlier sought to clarify Stoltenberg's remarks, saying: "We have an ongoing modernisation programme to replace legacy weapons and aircraft. Beyond that, there are no significant changes to our nuclear deterrent."

Russia, which sent troops into Ukraine in 2022, says the US and its European allies are pushing the world to the brink of nuclear confrontation by giving Ukraine billions of dollars worth of weapons. Prez Putin has said Russia is technically ready for nuclear war, and that Moscow could use nuclear weapons to defend itself in extreme circumstances.

The Iran's SIX for June 28 Snap Presidential Election

The Iran's SIX for June 28 Snap Presidential Election

The contest should be between the experienced IRGC and Basij operatives, Ghalibaf and Zakani


The Iran's Guardian Council has announced the final list of six candidates approved to compete in the presidential election scheduled for June 28. 


According to the interior ministry, the all male list consists of senior government figures such as hardliner Saeed Jalili who is Ali Khamenei's representative in the Iranian Supreme National Security Council.


Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, the current Parliament Speaker and Masoud Pezeshkian, a 'reformist' parliamentarian. Also in the approved list is Mostafa Pourmohammadi, a former minister of justice and interior, 


The Guardian Council also gave endorsement to Amir-Hossein Ghazizadeh Hashemi, a current Vice President, and another hardliner, Tehran Mayor Alireza Zakani. 

According to a report by Iran International, several high-profile figures were disqualified from running, including ex-President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, former parliament speaker Ali Larijani, and former Vice President Es’haq Jahangiri.

The pattern of selection is similar to the 2021 election, when Ahmadinejad and Larijani were rejected and only a second-echelon 'moderate' candidate was allowed to run. The result was a low-turnout election when Ebrahim Raisi passed the line in the first round.


Some analysts in Iran have told the local media that the race now will most likely be between Jalili, a former nuclear negotiator and an opponent of an agreement with the West, and Ghalibaf who is considered a more flexible politician. 


In any case, the issue of relations with the West and the fate of Iran's nuclear program are under the purview of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei.


Meanwhile, Jalili, 58, is making his third presidential bid, having been a significant figure in Iran's nuclear negotiation team and holding various senior positions within the ministry of foreign affairs. Jalili, who holds a Ph.D. in political science from Imam Sadiq University, is noted for his uncompromising conservative stance.

Former IRGC general Ghalibaf, 63, who is the current Parliament Speaker, is known for his military and political experience.


The only reform leaning candidate, Pezeshkian, 69, has served as health minister and chancellor of Tabriz University of Medical Sciences. He is also a trained cardiac surgeon, holding a medical degree from Tabriz University.


Pourmohammadi, 64, infamous for his role in the "Death Commission" during the 1980s, has been a polarizing figure due to his past actions as deputy intelligence minister.


Ghazizadeh Hashemi, 53, currently serving as Vice President, head of the Foundation of Martyrs and Veterans Affairs, and an ENT surgeon, has maintained a conservative stance throughout his political career, representing the Mashhad and Kalat electoral district in Parliament for several terms. He holds a medical degree from Mashhad University of Medical Sciences.


Mayor of Tehran, Zakani, 58, noted for his confrontational style and conservative views. holds a Ph.D. in nuclear medicine from Tehran University of Medical Sciences. He has been an outspoken critic of the nuclear deal and a key figure in the conservative camp supporting the crackdowns on women defying compulsory hijab.


The snap election follows the sudden death of President Ebrahim Raisi who died in a helicopter crash on May 19 along with his entourage.


The candidates' approval by the Guardian Council, a body of clerics known for its allegiance to Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, highlights the clerical rulers' continued grip on power.


 The upcoming elections are expected to see record low participation as the population rejects the sham polls rigged by the country's theocratic dictator.

The disqualification of heavyweights such as outspoken Ahmadinejad and Larijani came with mixed reactions from among the public.


 Ahmadinejad was highly unlikely to get through, but many thought that Larijani, as a quiet insider, will make it to final stage considering Khamenei's comment after his "unfair disqualification" in 2021.


On the other hand, the 'reformists' must be somewhat disappointed as only one of their official candidates has his credentials approved, Iranian analyst and Iran International contributor Behruz Turani said. 


The only reform-minded candidate, Pezeshkian's chances to win the presidency is uncertain because of his ethnic voter base, something that Khamenei is known to detest.

The final battle will be among "revolutionary" Jalili, insider Ghalibaf, and ambitious Zakani, observers say.


Khamenei sees no difference among them although he definitely does not like Jalili's link to the over-ambitious and ultra-hardliner Paydari party, according to sources.


In view of the security situation in the post 2022 protests, Khamenei's ideal candidates are more likely Ghalibaf and Zakani, both experienced IRGC and Basij operatives with a proven track record of suppressing dissent.


The contest should be between the experienced IRGC and Basij operatives, Ghalibaf and Zakani


The Iran's Guardian Council has announced the final list of six candidates approved to compete in the presidential election scheduled for June 28. 


According to the interior ministry, the all male list consists of senior government figures such as hardliner Saeed Jalili who is Ali Khamenei's representative in the Iranian Supreme National Security Council.


Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, the current Parliament Speaker and Masoud Pezeshkian, a 'reformist' parliamentarian. Also in the approved list is Mostafa Pourmohammadi, a former minister of justice and interior, 


The Guardian Council also gave endorsement to Amir-Hossein Ghazizadeh Hashemi, a current Vice President, and another hardliner, Tehran Mayor Alireza Zakani. 

According to a report by Iran International, several high-profile figures were disqualified from running, including ex-President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, former parliament speaker Ali Larijani, and former Vice President Es’haq Jahangiri.

The pattern of selection is similar to the 2021 election, when Ahmadinejad and Larijani were rejected and only a second-echelon 'moderate' candidate was allowed to run. The result was a low-turnout election when Ebrahim Raisi passed the line in the first round.


Some analysts in Iran have told the local media that the race now will most likely be between Jalili, a former nuclear negotiator and an opponent of an agreement with the West, and Ghalibaf who is considered a more flexible politician. 


In any case, the issue of relations with the West and the fate of Iran's nuclear program are under the purview of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei.


Meanwhile, Jalili, 58, is making his third presidential bid, having been a significant figure in Iran's nuclear negotiation team and holding various senior positions within the ministry of foreign affairs. Jalili, who holds a Ph.D. in political science from Imam Sadiq University, is noted for his uncompromising conservative stance.

Former IRGC general Ghalibaf, 63, who is the current Parliament Speaker, is known for his military and political experience.


The only reform leaning candidate, Pezeshkian, 69, has served as health minister and chancellor of Tabriz University of Medical Sciences. He is also a trained cardiac surgeon, holding a medical degree from Tabriz University.


Pourmohammadi, 64, infamous for his role in the "Death Commission" during the 1980s, has been a polarizing figure due to his past actions as deputy intelligence minister.


Ghazizadeh Hashemi, 53, currently serving as Vice President, head of the Foundation of Martyrs and Veterans Affairs, and an ENT surgeon, has maintained a conservative stance throughout his political career, representing the Mashhad and Kalat electoral district in Parliament for several terms. He holds a medical degree from Mashhad University of Medical Sciences.


Mayor of Tehran, Zakani, 58, noted for his confrontational style and conservative views. holds a Ph.D. in nuclear medicine from Tehran University of Medical Sciences. He has been an outspoken critic of the nuclear deal and a key figure in the conservative camp supporting the crackdowns on women defying compulsory hijab.


The snap election follows the sudden death of President Ebrahim Raisi who died in a helicopter crash on May 19 along with his entourage.


The candidates' approval by the Guardian Council, a body of clerics known for its allegiance to Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, highlights the clerical rulers' continued grip on power.


 The upcoming elections are expected to see record low participation as the population rejects the sham polls rigged by the country's theocratic dictator.

The disqualification of heavyweights such as outspoken Ahmadinejad and Larijani came with mixed reactions from among the public.


 Ahmadinejad was highly unlikely to get through, but many thought that Larijani, as a quiet insider, will make it to final stage considering Khamenei's comment after his "unfair disqualification" in 2021.


On the other hand, the 'reformists' must be somewhat disappointed as only one of their official candidates has his credentials approved, Iranian analyst and Iran International contributor Behruz Turani said. 


The only reform-minded candidate, Pezeshkian's chances to win the presidency is uncertain because of his ethnic voter base, something that Khamenei is known to detest.

The final battle will be among "revolutionary" Jalili, insider Ghalibaf, and ambitious Zakani, observers say.


Khamenei sees no difference among them although he definitely does not like Jalili's link to the over-ambitious and ultra-hardliner Paydari party, according to sources.


In view of the security situation in the post 2022 protests, Khamenei's ideal candidates are more likely Ghalibaf and Zakani, both experienced IRGC and Basij operatives with a proven track record of suppressing dissent.


United States warns Israel its attacks on Iran nuclear program are counterproductive — NYT

United States warns Israel its attacks on Iran nuclear program are counterproductive — NYT


It is no long a new apotheosis that threatening Iran by America and allies, economy sanctions or "economy Terrorism" as Tehran called it has always been counterproductive and by continuing doing so America is only putting all it's Allies in the region at risk, although Washington has repeatedly claims all options are on the table.

In contrast, the he officials of the United States have warned Israel that its attacks against the Iranian nuclear program are counterproductive and have enabled Tehran to rebuild an even more efficient enrichment system, according to the New York Times report Sunday.

NYT, citing officials familiar with the behind-the-scenes discussion between Washington and Jerusalem, as the Biden Administration continues to try and bring Iran back into the nuclear deal, the report said that Israeli officials have dismissed the warnings, saying they have “no intention of letting up.”

While in the last 20 months there have been four explosions at Iranian nuclear facilities attributed to Israel, along with the killing of Iran’s top nuclear scientist, the report said Washington officials have cautioned their Israeli counterparts that while such efforts may be “tactically satisfying,” they are “ultimately counterproductive.” And that Iran has managed to resume enrichment within months, often installing newer machines that can enrich uranium far faster.

However, the officials said Israel appeared unmoved by the arguments, and this was one of the many areas on which the US and Israel disagree regarding efforts to thwart Tehran’s drive to build nuclear weapons.

Further complicating matters was the fact that Iran has apparently managed to improve its defenses, particularly in the cyber field, the report said. As a consequence, cyber attacks like the Stuxnet attack that crippled centrifuges at the Natanz nuclear enrichment site for more than a year, an attack widely reported to be a joint US-Israeli effort, have become “much harder now to pull off.”

The major concern now was how close Iran has come to being able to build a nuclear weapon since then-US president Donald Trump withdrew the US from the deal in 2018.

This week, with Iran set for talks with world powers in Vienna on November 29, the International Atomic Energy Agency said Tehran had again increased its stockpile of highly enriched uranium.

Iran’s stockpile, as of November 6, was many times in excess of the limit laid down in the agreement with world powers, said the IAEA report. Such highly enriched uranium can be easily refined to make atomic weapons, which is why world powers have sought to contain Tehran’s nuclear program.

The Vienna-based agency told members that it is still not able to verify Iran’s exact stockpile of enriched uranium due to the limitations Tehran imposed on UN inspectors earlier this year.

The IAEA has been unable to access surveillance footage of Iranian nuclear sites or of online enrichment monitors and electronic seals since February. The agency’s chief, Rafael Mariano Grossi, told The Associated Press this month that the situation was like “flying in a heavily clouded sky.”

Sunday’s NYT report said that since abandoning the agreement, Iran had managed to reduce its breakout time to a bomb from about a year to just a few weeks.

“Before Mr. Trump decided to scrap the deal, Iran had adhered to the limits of the 2015 agreement — which by most estimates kept it about a year from ‘breakout,’ the point where it has enough material for a bomb. While estimates vary, that buffer is now down to somewhere between three weeks and a few months, which would change the geopolitical calculation throughout the Middle East,” the report said.

US officials have publicly warned that Iran’s violations are making it increasingly unlikely that there can be a return to the 2015 deal as it was.


The US envoy for Iran Robert Malley warned Friday that Tehran was approaching the point of no return for reviving a nuclear deal after it boosted its stocks of enriched uranium before the talks resume this month.

“The time will come if Iran continues at this pace with the advancements they’ve made, [it] will make it impossible even if we were going to go back to the JCPOA to recapture the benefits,” Malley told the Manama Dialogue conference in Bahrain, referring to the deal by its official name, the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action.

“Iran’s advances are spreading alarm across the region… that’s what’s making the clock tick faster and making all of us say that the time is short for a return to the JCPOA,” Malley said.

And I want to be clear, because there’s no ambiguity about what they seem to be doing now, which is to drag their feet on the nuclear talks and accelerate the progress in their nuclear program,” he added.

The US envoy said he was not encouraged by the statements from the new Iranian government of President Ebrahim Raisi, which earlier on Friday accused Washington of conducting a “propaganda campaign” against the country.

With the possibility of a return to the 2015 deal fading, the US was examining the possibility of hammering out an interim deal with Iran, the New York Times report said, confirming a separate report last week. “Inside the White House, there has been a scramble in recent days to explore whether some kind of interim deal might be possible to freeze Iran’s production of more enriched uranium and its conversion of that fuel to metallic form — a necessary step in fabricating a warhead,” the Times said. “In return, the United States might ease a limited number of sanctions. That would not solve the problem. But it might buy time for negotiations, while holding off Israeli threats to bomb Iranian facilities.”

US National Security Adviser Jake Sullivan raised the prospect of an interim agreement with Iran, to allow more time for nuclear negotiations, in talks with his Israeli counterpart, Eyal Hulata, the Axios news site reported last week.

A pair of American sources said Sullivan and Hulata were just “brainstorming,” and that the proposal was suggested by an unspecified European ally of the US.

The US sources said the proposal was for Iran to suspend a disallowed nuclear activity such as enriching uranium to 60 percent, in exchange for the US and allied countries releasing some frozen Iranian money, or issuing sanctions waivers on humanitarian goods.

An unnamed Israeli official cited in the Axios report said Hulata told Sullivan he was against the idea and Israel’s concern was that any interim agreement could become permanent, allowing Iran to maintain its nuclear infrastructure and supply of uranium it has built up.

While Israel has been more direct, staying her readiness to attack Iran’s nuclear program and allocating billions of dollars to IDF to prepare and train for a potential strike, the United States has been trying to reassure its allies in recent days that if diplomacy fails, other options are available.

“The United States remains committed to preventing Iran from gaining a nuclear weapon. And we remain committed to a diplomatic outcome of the nuclear issue,” US Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin said at the Manama event, which was put on by the International Institute for Strategic Studies.

“But if Iran isn’t willing to engage seriously, then we will look at all of the options necessary to keep the United States secure,” he said.

However, Iran has proven on several occasions that they are not soft power. In retaliation for the assasination of general suleimani Tehran fired precision missiles from their territories and they successfully destroyed American military base in northern Iraq. On another occasion the Houthi forces in Yemen flew barrages of Armed drones into Aramco oil field in Saudi Arabia crippling oil production, Iran was behind the attack.

Any aggressive act against Iran will yeild response from Tehran no matter how and irrespective of who is the aggressor and may not halt the Persia nuclear programs for the time being.


Currently, Iran is not known to  possess weapons of mass destruction (WMD) and has been signatory to treaties repudiating the possession of WMDs including the Biological Weapons Convention, the Chemical Weapons Convention, and the Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT). 


Iran has first-hand knowledge of WMD effects as over 100,000 Iranian troops and civilians were victims of chemical weapons during the 1980s Iran–Iraq War.


It is no long a new apotheosis that threatening Iran by America and allies, economy sanctions or "economy Terrorism" as Tehran called it has always been counterproductive and by continuing doing so America is only putting all it's Allies in the region at risk, although Washington has repeatedly claims all options are on the table.

In contrast, the he officials of the United States have warned Israel that its attacks against the Iranian nuclear program are counterproductive and have enabled Tehran to rebuild an even more efficient enrichment system, according to the New York Times report Sunday.

NYT, citing officials familiar with the behind-the-scenes discussion between Washington and Jerusalem, as the Biden Administration continues to try and bring Iran back into the nuclear deal, the report said that Israeli officials have dismissed the warnings, saying they have “no intention of letting up.”

While in the last 20 months there have been four explosions at Iranian nuclear facilities attributed to Israel, along with the killing of Iran’s top nuclear scientist, the report said Washington officials have cautioned their Israeli counterparts that while such efforts may be “tactically satisfying,” they are “ultimately counterproductive.” And that Iran has managed to resume enrichment within months, often installing newer machines that can enrich uranium far faster.

However, the officials said Israel appeared unmoved by the arguments, and this was one of the many areas on which the US and Israel disagree regarding efforts to thwart Tehran’s drive to build nuclear weapons.

Further complicating matters was the fact that Iran has apparently managed to improve its defenses, particularly in the cyber field, the report said. As a consequence, cyber attacks like the Stuxnet attack that crippled centrifuges at the Natanz nuclear enrichment site for more than a year, an attack widely reported to be a joint US-Israeli effort, have become “much harder now to pull off.”

The major concern now was how close Iran has come to being able to build a nuclear weapon since then-US president Donald Trump withdrew the US from the deal in 2018.

This week, with Iran set for talks with world powers in Vienna on November 29, the International Atomic Energy Agency said Tehran had again increased its stockpile of highly enriched uranium.

Iran’s stockpile, as of November 6, was many times in excess of the limit laid down in the agreement with world powers, said the IAEA report. Such highly enriched uranium can be easily refined to make atomic weapons, which is why world powers have sought to contain Tehran’s nuclear program.

The Vienna-based agency told members that it is still not able to verify Iran’s exact stockpile of enriched uranium due to the limitations Tehran imposed on UN inspectors earlier this year.

The IAEA has been unable to access surveillance footage of Iranian nuclear sites or of online enrichment monitors and electronic seals since February. The agency’s chief, Rafael Mariano Grossi, told The Associated Press this month that the situation was like “flying in a heavily clouded sky.”

Sunday’s NYT report said that since abandoning the agreement, Iran had managed to reduce its breakout time to a bomb from about a year to just a few weeks.

“Before Mr. Trump decided to scrap the deal, Iran had adhered to the limits of the 2015 agreement — which by most estimates kept it about a year from ‘breakout,’ the point where it has enough material for a bomb. While estimates vary, that buffer is now down to somewhere between three weeks and a few months, which would change the geopolitical calculation throughout the Middle East,” the report said.

US officials have publicly warned that Iran’s violations are making it increasingly unlikely that there can be a return to the 2015 deal as it was.


The US envoy for Iran Robert Malley warned Friday that Tehran was approaching the point of no return for reviving a nuclear deal after it boosted its stocks of enriched uranium before the talks resume this month.

“The time will come if Iran continues at this pace with the advancements they’ve made, [it] will make it impossible even if we were going to go back to the JCPOA to recapture the benefits,” Malley told the Manama Dialogue conference in Bahrain, referring to the deal by its official name, the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action.

“Iran’s advances are spreading alarm across the region… that’s what’s making the clock tick faster and making all of us say that the time is short for a return to the JCPOA,” Malley said.

And I want to be clear, because there’s no ambiguity about what they seem to be doing now, which is to drag their feet on the nuclear talks and accelerate the progress in their nuclear program,” he added.

The US envoy said he was not encouraged by the statements from the new Iranian government of President Ebrahim Raisi, which earlier on Friday accused Washington of conducting a “propaganda campaign” against the country.

With the possibility of a return to the 2015 deal fading, the US was examining the possibility of hammering out an interim deal with Iran, the New York Times report said, confirming a separate report last week. “Inside the White House, there has been a scramble in recent days to explore whether some kind of interim deal might be possible to freeze Iran’s production of more enriched uranium and its conversion of that fuel to metallic form — a necessary step in fabricating a warhead,” the Times said. “In return, the United States might ease a limited number of sanctions. That would not solve the problem. But it might buy time for negotiations, while holding off Israeli threats to bomb Iranian facilities.”

US National Security Adviser Jake Sullivan raised the prospect of an interim agreement with Iran, to allow more time for nuclear negotiations, in talks with his Israeli counterpart, Eyal Hulata, the Axios news site reported last week.

A pair of American sources said Sullivan and Hulata were just “brainstorming,” and that the proposal was suggested by an unspecified European ally of the US.

The US sources said the proposal was for Iran to suspend a disallowed nuclear activity such as enriching uranium to 60 percent, in exchange for the US and allied countries releasing some frozen Iranian money, or issuing sanctions waivers on humanitarian goods.

An unnamed Israeli official cited in the Axios report said Hulata told Sullivan he was against the idea and Israel’s concern was that any interim agreement could become permanent, allowing Iran to maintain its nuclear infrastructure and supply of uranium it has built up.

While Israel has been more direct, staying her readiness to attack Iran’s nuclear program and allocating billions of dollars to IDF to prepare and train for a potential strike, the United States has been trying to reassure its allies in recent days that if diplomacy fails, other options are available.

“The United States remains committed to preventing Iran from gaining a nuclear weapon. And we remain committed to a diplomatic outcome of the nuclear issue,” US Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin said at the Manama event, which was put on by the International Institute for Strategic Studies.

“But if Iran isn’t willing to engage seriously, then we will look at all of the options necessary to keep the United States secure,” he said.

However, Iran has proven on several occasions that they are not soft power. In retaliation for the assasination of general suleimani Tehran fired precision missiles from their territories and they successfully destroyed American military base in northern Iraq. On another occasion the Houthi forces in Yemen flew barrages of Armed drones into Aramco oil field in Saudi Arabia crippling oil production, Iran was behind the attack.

Any aggressive act against Iran will yeild response from Tehran no matter how and irrespective of who is the aggressor and may not halt the Persia nuclear programs for the time being.


Currently, Iran is not known to  possess weapons of mass destruction (WMD) and has been signatory to treaties repudiating the possession of WMDs including the Biological Weapons Convention, the Chemical Weapons Convention, and the Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT). 


Iran has first-hand knowledge of WMD effects as over 100,000 Iranian troops and civilians were victims of chemical weapons during the 1980s Iran–Iraq War.

Incase talks fail, More sanctions are coming against Tehran as Israel, US hold secret meeting over ‘Plan B’ on Iran

Incase talks fail, More sanctions are coming against Tehran as Israel, US hold secret meeting over ‘Plan B’ on Iran


Tel Aviv and Washington have been secretly meeting over a possible imposition of additional sanctions against Tehran.


According to the report by Axios, Israel and the U.S. have held secret discussions in the past week over a “Plan B” in case talks with Iran over its nuclear program fail.


The report indicated that one of these meetings was held between U.S. national security adviser Jake Sullivan and his Israeli counterpart, Eyal Hulata, via a secure video conference callwhere  the Israeli side noted the importance of developing a “Plan B” regarding the Iranian threat as diplomatic talks with Tehran have reached a stalemate and the regime’s nuclear program only seems to be accelerating.


According to an Israeli official cited by Axois, the U.S. said it was also concerned about Iran and would impose additional sanctions on Tehran if the talks do not resume soon.


 

The U.S. “remains engaged in ongoing consultations with the Israeli government on a range of issues related to the challenge posed by Iran,” a White House spokesperson told Axios.


On Tuesday, Iran signaled that negotiations would resume in the upcoming weeks but did not specify an actual date, Iranian news agency IRNA reported.


Negotiations held in Vienna over Iran’s nuclear agreement were cut short following the election of Ebrahim Raisi as president in mid-June and have not resumed since.


Months later, Western powers have expressed concern that the time for negotiations is running out, as Iran’s nuclear program is expanding beyond the limits set by the original deal.


German Foreign Minister Heiko Maas warned on Thursday that the West was losing its patience. “The clock is ticking. We’re not going to wait two or three months for the Iranian delegation to come back to the table in Vienna,” he said, according to France24.


Washington indicated on Thursday that it was prepared to be patient, while considering other contingency plans in case Tehran does not cooperate, Reuters reported.


“We’re still interested. We still want to come back to the table,” a senior U.S. State Department official was cited by Reuters as saying. “The window of opportunity is open. It won’t be open forever if Iran takes a different course,” he added.


“The ‘Plan B’ that we’re concerned about is the one that Iran may be contemplating, where they want to continue to build their nuclear program and not be seriously engaged in talks to return to the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action.”


Tel Aviv and Washington have been secretly meeting over a possible imposition of additional sanctions against Tehran.


According to the report by Axios, Israel and the U.S. have held secret discussions in the past week over a “Plan B” in case talks with Iran over its nuclear program fail.


The report indicated that one of these meetings was held between U.S. national security adviser Jake Sullivan and his Israeli counterpart, Eyal Hulata, via a secure video conference callwhere  the Israeli side noted the importance of developing a “Plan B” regarding the Iranian threat as diplomatic talks with Tehran have reached a stalemate and the regime’s nuclear program only seems to be accelerating.


According to an Israeli official cited by Axois, the U.S. said it was also concerned about Iran and would impose additional sanctions on Tehran if the talks do not resume soon.


 

The U.S. “remains engaged in ongoing consultations with the Israeli government on a range of issues related to the challenge posed by Iran,” a White House spokesperson told Axios.


On Tuesday, Iran signaled that negotiations would resume in the upcoming weeks but did not specify an actual date, Iranian news agency IRNA reported.


Negotiations held in Vienna over Iran’s nuclear agreement were cut short following the election of Ebrahim Raisi as president in mid-June and have not resumed since.


Months later, Western powers have expressed concern that the time for negotiations is running out, as Iran’s nuclear program is expanding beyond the limits set by the original deal.


German Foreign Minister Heiko Maas warned on Thursday that the West was losing its patience. “The clock is ticking. We’re not going to wait two or three months for the Iranian delegation to come back to the table in Vienna,” he said, according to France24.


Washington indicated on Thursday that it was prepared to be patient, while considering other contingency plans in case Tehran does not cooperate, Reuters reported.


“We’re still interested. We still want to come back to the table,” a senior U.S. State Department official was cited by Reuters as saying. “The window of opportunity is open. It won’t be open forever if Iran takes a different course,” he added.


“The ‘Plan B’ that we’re concerned about is the one that Iran may be contemplating, where they want to continue to build their nuclear program and not be seriously engaged in talks to return to the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action.”

STRATEGIC LIES AND STRATEGIC DECEPTIONS: America Needs to Start Telling the Truth About Israel’s Nukes

STRATEGIC LIES AND STRATEGIC DECEPTIONS: America Needs to Start Telling the Truth About Israel’s Nukes


American politicians often warn that if Iran obtains a nuclear weapon, it will spark a nuclear stampede across the Middle East. Allowing Tehran to get the bomb, Senator Robert Menendez, the current chairman of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, predicted in March 2020, could “set off a dangerous arms race in the region.” In an interview in December, President-elect Joe Biden cautioned that if Iran went nuclear, Saudi Arabia, Turkey and Egypt might too, “and the last goddamn thing we need in that part of the world is a buildup of nuclear capability.”

Such statements are so familiar that it’s easy to overlook their artifice. In warning that Iran could turn the Middle East nuclear, American politicians imply that the region is nuclear-free now. But it’s not. Israel already has nuclear weapons. You’d just never know it from America’s leaders, who have spent the last half-century feigning ignorance. This deceit undercuts America’s supposed commitment to nuclear nonproliferation, and it distorts the American debate over Iran. It’s time for the Biden administration to tell the truth.

American officials began hiding the truth about Israeli nuclear weapons after Israeli leaders hid the truth from them. In the early 1960s, writes Avner Cohen in his book “The Worst Kept Secret,” Prime Minister David Ben-Gurion repeatedly told President John F. Kennedy that the reactor Israel was building in the desert town of Dimona “was for peaceful purposes only.” When the United States sent inspectors to the site, the Israelis concocted an elaborate ruse, which included building fake walls to conceal the elevators that led to an underground reprocessing plant. By decade’s end, the die was cast. The C.I.A. concluded that Israel already possessed nuclear warheads.

So Richard Nixon and Prime Minister Golda Meir hatched a deal. Neither Israel nor the United States would acknowledge that Israel had nuclear weapons, and Washington would not pressure Israel to submit them to international oversight. For 50 years now, American presidents have abided by the bargain. Scholars believe that when Israel tested a nuclear weapon in the Indian Ocean in 1979, the Carter administration covered it up. In 2009, when a journalist asked Barack Obama if he knew of “any country in the Middle East that has nuclear weapons?” Mr. Obama responded, “I don’t want to speculate.”

Feigning ignorance about Israeli nuclear weapons makes a mockery of America’s efforts at nonproliferation. Mr. Obama vowed to pursue a nuclear-free world. Yet to prevent public discussion of Israel’s arsenal, his administration helped squelch a United Nations conference on a nuclear-free zone in the Middle East. The Biden administration continues to impose punishing sanctions on Iran in an attempt to force its government to accept inspections more stringent than those required by the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty. Meanwhile, Israel, which has never signed the N.P.T., permits no inspections at all.

This hypocrisy leads many around the world to smirk when American diplomats claim to be defending the “rules-based order.” It also empowers those Iranians who claim Tehran has the right to match its regional rival.

Finally, the American government’s deceptive silence prevents a more honest debate at home about the dangers an Iranian nuclear weapon would pose. American politicians sometimes say an Iranian bomb would pose an “existential” threat to Israel. That’s a dubious claim, given that Israel possesses a nuclear deterrent it can deploy on air, land and sea. But many Americans find the claim plausible because, according to recent polling conducted by Shibley Telhami of the University of Maryland, barely 50 percent know Israel has nuclear weapons. A higher percentage thinks Tehran has the bomb.

Even if an Iranian bomb wouldn’t existentially threaten Israel, the United States should still work to forestall one diplomatically. With negotiations with Tehran at risk of collapse, the Biden administration should commit to lifting the sanctions that are crippling Iran’s economy in return for verifiable limits on Iran’s nuclear capacity. But if those efforts fail — and the Biden administration faces pressure to wage war rather than allow Iran to gain the capacity to build a nuclear weapon — it’s crucial that Americans make an informed decision about the risk a nuclear Iran poses to America’s closest ally in the Middle East. That’s harder when the American government never publicly admits that Israel has the means to deter a nuclear attack.

The Biden administration is not going to force Israel to give up its nuclear weapons. But that doesn’t mean it must undermine America’s global credibility and deceive its people by denying reality. Perhaps a more honest American discussion of Israel’s nuclear arsenal will breathe new life into the distant dream of a nuclear-free Middle East. Even if that doesn’t happen, it will be bracing, after a half-century of lying by omission, simply to hear America’s leaders tell the truth.

Peter Beinart (@PeterBeinart) is professor of journalism and political science at the Newmark School of Journalism at the City University of New York. He is also editor at large of Jewish Currents and writes The Beinart Notebook, a weekly newsletter."

American politicians often warn that if Iran obtains a nuclear weapon, it will spark a nuclear stampede across the Middle East. Allowing Tehran to get the bomb, Senator Robert Menendez, the current chairman of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, predicted in March 2020, could “set off a dangerous arms race in the region.” In an interview in December, President-elect Joe Biden cautioned that if Iran went nuclear, Saudi Arabia, Turkey and Egypt might too, “and the last goddamn thing we need in that part of the world is a buildup of nuclear capability.”

Such statements are so familiar that it’s easy to overlook their artifice. In warning that Iran could turn the Middle East nuclear, American politicians imply that the region is nuclear-free now. But it’s not. Israel already has nuclear weapons. You’d just never know it from America’s leaders, who have spent the last half-century feigning ignorance. This deceit undercuts America’s supposed commitment to nuclear nonproliferation, and it distorts the American debate over Iran. It’s time for the Biden administration to tell the truth.

American officials began hiding the truth about Israeli nuclear weapons after Israeli leaders hid the truth from them. In the early 1960s, writes Avner Cohen in his book “The Worst Kept Secret,” Prime Minister David Ben-Gurion repeatedly told President John F. Kennedy that the reactor Israel was building in the desert town of Dimona “was for peaceful purposes only.” When the United States sent inspectors to the site, the Israelis concocted an elaborate ruse, which included building fake walls to conceal the elevators that led to an underground reprocessing plant. By decade’s end, the die was cast. The C.I.A. concluded that Israel already possessed nuclear warheads.

So Richard Nixon and Prime Minister Golda Meir hatched a deal. Neither Israel nor the United States would acknowledge that Israel had nuclear weapons, and Washington would not pressure Israel to submit them to international oversight. For 50 years now, American presidents have abided by the bargain. Scholars believe that when Israel tested a nuclear weapon in the Indian Ocean in 1979, the Carter administration covered it up. In 2009, when a journalist asked Barack Obama if he knew of “any country in the Middle East that has nuclear weapons?” Mr. Obama responded, “I don’t want to speculate.”

Feigning ignorance about Israeli nuclear weapons makes a mockery of America’s efforts at nonproliferation. Mr. Obama vowed to pursue a nuclear-free world. Yet to prevent public discussion of Israel’s arsenal, his administration helped squelch a United Nations conference on a nuclear-free zone in the Middle East. The Biden administration continues to impose punishing sanctions on Iran in an attempt to force its government to accept inspections more stringent than those required by the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty. Meanwhile, Israel, which has never signed the N.P.T., permits no inspections at all.

This hypocrisy leads many around the world to smirk when American diplomats claim to be defending the “rules-based order.” It also empowers those Iranians who claim Tehran has the right to match its regional rival.

Finally, the American government’s deceptive silence prevents a more honest debate at home about the dangers an Iranian nuclear weapon would pose. American politicians sometimes say an Iranian bomb would pose an “existential” threat to Israel. That’s a dubious claim, given that Israel possesses a nuclear deterrent it can deploy on air, land and sea. But many Americans find the claim plausible because, according to recent polling conducted by Shibley Telhami of the University of Maryland, barely 50 percent know Israel has nuclear weapons. A higher percentage thinks Tehran has the bomb.

Even if an Iranian bomb wouldn’t existentially threaten Israel, the United States should still work to forestall one diplomatically. With negotiations with Tehran at risk of collapse, the Biden administration should commit to lifting the sanctions that are crippling Iran’s economy in return for verifiable limits on Iran’s nuclear capacity. But if those efforts fail — and the Biden administration faces pressure to wage war rather than allow Iran to gain the capacity to build a nuclear weapon — it’s crucial that Americans make an informed decision about the risk a nuclear Iran poses to America’s closest ally in the Middle East. That’s harder when the American government never publicly admits that Israel has the means to deter a nuclear attack.

The Biden administration is not going to force Israel to give up its nuclear weapons. But that doesn’t mean it must undermine America’s global credibility and deceive its people by denying reality. Perhaps a more honest American discussion of Israel’s nuclear arsenal will breathe new life into the distant dream of a nuclear-free Middle East. Even if that doesn’t happen, it will be bracing, after a half-century of lying by omission, simply to hear America’s leaders tell the truth.

Peter Beinart (@PeterBeinart) is professor of journalism and political science at the Newmark School of Journalism at the City University of New York. He is also editor at large of Jewish Currents and writes The Beinart Notebook, a weekly newsletter."

Tehran Ballistic Missiles: Iran’s president-elect Ebrahim Raisi would not meet with President Joe Biden nor negotiate, sanctions must be lifted unconditionally

Tehran Ballistic Missiles: Iran’s president-elect Ebrahim Raisi would not meet with President Joe Biden nor negotiate, sanctions must be lifted unconditionally

By Associated Press



Iran’s president-elect said Monday he would not meet with President Joe Biden nor negotiate over Tehran’s ballistic missile program and its support of regional terror proxies, sticking to a hard-line position following his landslide victory in last week’s election.




Judiciary chief Ebrahim Raisi also described himself as a “defender of human rights” when asked about his involvement in the 1988 mass execution of some 5,000 people. It marked the first time he’s been put on the spot on live television over that dark moment in Iranian history at the end of the Iran-Iraq war.


“The U.S. is obliged to lift all oppressive sanctions against Iran,” Raisi said at the news conference.


Raisi sat in front of a sea of microphones, most from Iran and countries home to militias supported by Tehran. He looked nervous at the beginning of his comments but slowly became more at ease over the hourlong news conference.


Asked about Iran’s ballistic missile program and its support of regional terror proxies, Raisi described the issues as “non-negotiable.”


Iran also relies on militias like Yemen’s Houthis, Gaza’s Hamas, and Lebanon’s Hezbollah, deemed terror groups by a number of entities throughout the world, to fight proxy wars against enemies like Saudi Arabia and Israel, respectively.


On a possible meeting with Biden, Raisi simply answered: “No.” His competitor in the election, Abdolnasser Hemmati, had suggested during campaigning that he’d be potentially willing to meet Biden.


The White House did not immediately respond to Raisi’s statements Monday. Raisi will become the first serving Iranian president sanctioned by the U.S. government even before entering office, in part over his time as the head of Iran’s internationally criticized judiciary — one of the world’s top executioners.


The so-called victory of Raisi, a protégé of Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, came amid the lowest turnout in the Islamic Republic’s history. Millions of Iranians stayed home in defiance of a vote they saw as tipped in Raisi’s favor.


Of those who did vote, 3.7 million people either accidentally or intentionally voided their ballots, far beyond the amount seen in previous elections and suggesting some wanted none of the four candidates. In official results, Raisi won 17.9 million votes overall, nearly 62% of the total 28.9 million cast.


Observers have called the Iranian elections a sham.

Raisi’s victory puts hard-liners firmly in control across the government as negotiations in Vienna continue to try to save a tattered deal meant to limit Iran’s nuclear program, at a time when Tehran is enriching uranium at 60%, its highest levels ever, though still short of weapons-grade levels. Representatives of the world powers party to the deal returned to their capitals for consultations following the latest round of negotiations on Sunday.


Top diplomats from nations involved in the talks said that further progress had been made Sunday between Iran and global powers to try to restore a 2015 agreement to contain Iranian nuclear development that was abandoned by the Trump administration. They said it was now up to the governments involved in the negotiations to make political decisions.


Raisi’s election victory has raised concerns that it could complicate a possible return to the nuclear agreement. In his remarks Monday, Raisi called sanctions relief as “central to our foreign policy” and exhorted the U.S. to “return and implement your commitments” in the deal.


On Saudi Arabia, which has recently started secret talks with Iran in Baghdad to reduce tensions with Iran, Raisi said that Iran would have “no problem” with a possible reopening of the Saudi Embassy in Tehran and the “restoration of relations faces no barrier.” The embassy was closed in 2016 when relations deteriorated.


Raisi struck a defiant tone, however, when asked about the 1988 executions, which saw sham retrials of political prisoners, militants and others that would become known as “death commissions.”

After Iran’s then-Supreme Leader Ruhollah Khomeini accepted a U.N.-brokered cease-fire, members of the Iranian opposition group Mujahedeen-e-Khalq, heavily armed by Saddam Hussein, stormed across the Iranian border in a surprise attack. Iran ultimately blunted their assault.


The trials began around that time, with defendants asked to identify themselves. Those who responded “mujahedeen” were sent to their deaths, while others were questioned about their willingness to “clear minefields for the army of the Islamic Republic,” according to a 1990 Amnesty International report.

International rights groups estimate that as many as 5,000 people were executed. Raisi served on the commissions.

“I am proud of being a defender of human rights and of people’s security and comfort as a prosecutor wherever I was,” he said. “All actions I carried out during my office were always in the direction of defending human rights,” he added. “Today in the presidential post, I feel obliged to defend human rights.”

AP
By Associated Press



Iran’s president-elect said Monday he would not meet with President Joe Biden nor negotiate over Tehran’s ballistic missile program and its support of regional terror proxies, sticking to a hard-line position following his landslide victory in last week’s election.




Judiciary chief Ebrahim Raisi also described himself as a “defender of human rights” when asked about his involvement in the 1988 mass execution of some 5,000 people. It marked the first time he’s been put on the spot on live television over that dark moment in Iranian history at the end of the Iran-Iraq war.


“The U.S. is obliged to lift all oppressive sanctions against Iran,” Raisi said at the news conference.


Raisi sat in front of a sea of microphones, most from Iran and countries home to militias supported by Tehran. He looked nervous at the beginning of his comments but slowly became more at ease over the hourlong news conference.


Asked about Iran’s ballistic missile program and its support of regional terror proxies, Raisi described the issues as “non-negotiable.”


Iran also relies on militias like Yemen’s Houthis, Gaza’s Hamas, and Lebanon’s Hezbollah, deemed terror groups by a number of entities throughout the world, to fight proxy wars against enemies like Saudi Arabia and Israel, respectively.


On a possible meeting with Biden, Raisi simply answered: “No.” His competitor in the election, Abdolnasser Hemmati, had suggested during campaigning that he’d be potentially willing to meet Biden.


The White House did not immediately respond to Raisi’s statements Monday. Raisi will become the first serving Iranian president sanctioned by the U.S. government even before entering office, in part over his time as the head of Iran’s internationally criticized judiciary — one of the world’s top executioners.


The so-called victory of Raisi, a protégé of Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, came amid the lowest turnout in the Islamic Republic’s history. Millions of Iranians stayed home in defiance of a vote they saw as tipped in Raisi’s favor.


Of those who did vote, 3.7 million people either accidentally or intentionally voided their ballots, far beyond the amount seen in previous elections and suggesting some wanted none of the four candidates. In official results, Raisi won 17.9 million votes overall, nearly 62% of the total 28.9 million cast.


Observers have called the Iranian elections a sham.

Raisi’s victory puts hard-liners firmly in control across the government as negotiations in Vienna continue to try to save a tattered deal meant to limit Iran’s nuclear program, at a time when Tehran is enriching uranium at 60%, its highest levels ever, though still short of weapons-grade levels. Representatives of the world powers party to the deal returned to their capitals for consultations following the latest round of negotiations on Sunday.


Top diplomats from nations involved in the talks said that further progress had been made Sunday between Iran and global powers to try to restore a 2015 agreement to contain Iranian nuclear development that was abandoned by the Trump administration. They said it was now up to the governments involved in the negotiations to make political decisions.


Raisi’s election victory has raised concerns that it could complicate a possible return to the nuclear agreement. In his remarks Monday, Raisi called sanctions relief as “central to our foreign policy” and exhorted the U.S. to “return and implement your commitments” in the deal.


On Saudi Arabia, which has recently started secret talks with Iran in Baghdad to reduce tensions with Iran, Raisi said that Iran would have “no problem” with a possible reopening of the Saudi Embassy in Tehran and the “restoration of relations faces no barrier.” The embassy was closed in 2016 when relations deteriorated.


Raisi struck a defiant tone, however, when asked about the 1988 executions, which saw sham retrials of political prisoners, militants and others that would become known as “death commissions.”

After Iran’s then-Supreme Leader Ruhollah Khomeini accepted a U.N.-brokered cease-fire, members of the Iranian opposition group Mujahedeen-e-Khalq, heavily armed by Saddam Hussein, stormed across the Iranian border in a surprise attack. Iran ultimately blunted their assault.


The trials began around that time, with defendants asked to identify themselves. Those who responded “mujahedeen” were sent to their deaths, while others were questioned about their willingness to “clear minefields for the army of the Islamic Republic,” according to a 1990 Amnesty International report.

International rights groups estimate that as many as 5,000 people were executed. Raisi served on the commissions.

“I am proud of being a defender of human rights and of people’s security and comfort as a prosecutor wherever I was,” he said. “All actions I carried out during my office were always in the direction of defending human rights,” he added. “Today in the presidential post, I feel obliged to defend human rights.”

AP

Poster Speaks

Poster Speaks/box

Trending

randomposts